Archive for the ‘Peak Oil’ Category

On 4 day work week - Oh, please.

Friday, July 11th, 2008

Sharon Astyk at Causabon’s Book (”Sabbaths: Public and Personal“) admires the article that Aaron on The Oil Drum wrote, “The Four Day Work Week: Sixteen Reasons Why This Might Be an Idea Whose Time Has Come“.

10 years ago I worked at a Lockheed Martin R&D plant in Goodyear, AZ. They worked a 9 day/two weeks schedule. The work week began at noon on Friday. Monday through Thursday were nine (9) hour days. On Friday, we alternated. One Friday everyone worked Friday morning to finish the week’s 40 hours, and that Friday afternoon worked the first 4 hours of the following week. The next Friday no one worked - the 40 hours were completed on the previous day. Setting the beginning of the work week at noon Friday made the calculations and mechanics of working two weeks with one day less to commute work easily.

Sharon and Aaron enthuse about saving fuel, about saving the energy needed to run the plant, and about extra family time.

Sharon, for her part, wants to make not just one less commute day, but a legally mandated ‘no commerce day’, a day of freedom from supervision, work - a sabbath.

My first inclination, when I started reading Sharon’s post (good reading, very thoughtful, as always), was that she overstated the resistance and inability of industry to adapt to a four day work week, short of a law imposing the issue. My observation is that the resistance is in labor unions, labor union contracts, and labor union leaders. Labor unions are perhaps the epitome of conservative social agendas, dragging industries into bankruptcy to protect their status quo and their positions of power. And yet labor unions, by and large, support Democratic candidates and campaigns (maybe easier to influence, more naive? Hello! President Jimmy Carter - does that ring a bell?!)

No, corporations can choose to manage their affairs quite easily - many companies find Friday a weak day for productivity anyway. Whether the pre-weekend slacking would just drift to erode Thursday, assuming a Monday-Thursday work week, will be interesting to watch. Working out what a ten (10) hour day means for start times vs. other familiy commitments such as school times, day care, doctor appointments, etc. will be interesting, but doable. Breaks, meal times, etc. will work themselves out.

But Sharon seems enamored of the idea that the commuteless day means more family time. Ha! Unless schools go to 4 day weeks, that won’t happen. What families need is not ‘quality’ time as portrayed on TV - they need more time of kids working, parents working and all working together. It is in sharing work that kids learn values, learn discipline, and learn about society, culture, and beliefs in the family. And most families don’t / won’t share work with kids. They don’t have any work to share.

Sure, that extra home-day could be put to use doing major garden work, but various seasons in the garden need daily attention to prosper. Once-a-week, even a three-day span, will have to be awfully well planned and fit weather and garden growth status.

The results I saw of the extra weekend day every other week? More shopping, more time in the car than the usual commute. Yes, the plant did operate 10% fewer days. Except for those people that worked overtime for late projects, or critical projects, or because they needed the extra hours for utility bills.

Most companies use a number of computers. Most business computers assume that humidity and temperature will remain reasonably constant. Most businesses leave the A/C running when the plant is ’shut down’. Major industry will probably show a major change as heavy machinery is idled and powered down, but office type enterprises will show surprisingly little change in energy usage.

Sharon raised the issue of service industries, such as hospitals that are expected to operate 24/7. What about Telephone worker’s unions that hold out for contracts with mandatory overtime for employees - that the company cannot reduce?

What to do?

The cable company here in North Central Oklahoma has cables strung from utility poles. On any given day, I have no problem finding a service truck changing a customer’s services, or making repairs. This is a massive, ongoing operation - with a sizable utility truck. Recently the city installed satellite monitors on all water meters, so water meter trucks don’t have to check each meter each month for accurate billing - that saves fuel and resources. Ohio has been testing broadband over power lines for a couple of years. If that technology comes online, power companies can do many things - charge day rates and night rates, save the cost of human meter readings each month, remotely monitor for unexpected outages or voltage problems.

And I expect the cable truck will still be mending lines, tracking leaks and shorts, and looking for thieves that tap into the line illegally.

Does Wal-Mart have a setup for me to fill out a shopping list, that I can have a neighbor or a delivery service pick up? Not yet. I still have to make my own way to the store to get what is on my list. Does my community have a general delivery service, similar to UPS but serving local merchants and their customers? Not yet.

Does the IRS still limit moving costs, to be closer to work, to moving 35 miles closer, at least? As far as I know. I am also unaware if they mandate that that ‘closer to work’ be within 4 miles, or 10 miles. And moving closer to work has to be the single most effective way to reduce highway congestion for rush hour, reduce fuel usage for commutes, and increase time available for home.

Or time for the three-day-a-week second career that Sharon and Aaron’s four day week will create. Hide and watch.

Peak oil and alternatives

Friday, June 27th, 2008

OK, so I am reading Causabon’s Book about peak oil and how we will lose electricity and natural gas in 2012, how there is a whole network of people convinced that we are near the end of easy oil days. Sharon claims that we will lose electricity not because it isn’t being generated - but because we cannot afford to pay the utility bill. Note the 15% increase in turnoff in Pennsylvania over last year, and 8% rise in other places.

In the news, the rationale now developing about the high cost of oil includes the fact that developing nations are demanding more. Think of China building cars and highways for a billion people that hadn’t been using them. Think of the world making artificial Nitrogen fertilizer that modern agriculture depends on - and accounting for 30% or so of the oil used in the US. Now think that the market for oil isn’t expanding - and scarce resources have historically lead to famines, depressions, and war.

So Sharon, at Causobon’s Book, considers herself an optimist. She figures that if we lose electricity, we can live without refrigerators and freezers, and people did for thousands of years. More cheese and sausage.

But what about the Amish, and the old style ammonia-type refrigerator that uses a natural gas or propane pilot light to power the cooling cycle? Can’t the flame be replaced with solar energy? We know more about insulation than ever before, so preserving cold should be doable.

Plus, we now have experience with soapstone stoves. No, they don’t burn soapstone. Soapstone turns out to be a great medium for holding heat - fire the fireplace up for a day, and the stove continues to radiate heat for 24 hours. Can’t we combine soapstone or a thermal mass equivalent with our insulated coolers? On cloudy days when solar doesn’t meet the needs, can’t we make do with charcoal or wood to keep the cooling cycle going?

Cars run on gas. Wow, I am sure everyone is relieved to hear that. But what about the late 19th century car, the Stanley Steamer, that generated steam to power the vehicle? My Dad recalled cleaning engine spaces in the old USS New York battleship, which used a steam reciprocating engine. Steam turbines, when they were developed, showed much better efficiency, or maybe better performance. But for cars? Why not the firebox, boiler, and steam pistons of the early locomotives? It might be cumbersome (but not necessarily) for the family car (if that myth persists), but for moving loads? Replace today’s diesel tractors with a steam unit, maybe add a wood tender and fireman, and we might see the same freight trailers still traveling at speed, without diesel.

Farmers have been generating methane from pig manure to run a vehicle for 40 years that I know of. How sad that municipal sewage treatment plants aren’t packaging methane - ’sewer gas.’ Or maybe some cities already use the resource to generate heat and power.

In Australia and Hawaii they are experimenting with cold ocean water for a heat pump. Some upscale homes use geothermal energy, pumping water from deep underground for warmth, and returning it slightly cooler (to preserve the cleanliness, to avoid creating a surface water nuisance, and to keep from wasting water someone downstream in the aquifer might need).

We can generate massive amounts of electricity by building huge dams and creating immense man-made lakes that we can water ski on. What about a farm sized power system to put on the local creek, that takes about 1 foot of drop, and might only run two or three months a year, plus rains? Some farms have a pond that collects water - what about using the overflow to power a small generator when it rains?

The wind blows. Occasionally, and sometimes quite fiercely. Why don’t we have momentary generators, say about 4 foot across for residential use. Something to charge a battery system, or pump water, or operate power tools (or an insulated soapstone refrigerator or freezer).

The house I grew up in had rain gutters. These gutters all fed to a single downspout. The downspout had a flap, to flip the water onto the ground, or down into an immense cement cistern. Soft, clean water. The flap was to allow the first few minutes of rain to wash off the roof, when it ran clear then you began collecting the water. Now all anyone uses is the plastic county water line.

Aeromotor still makes the windmills my Grandfather used. I still see a few standing, most in disrepair, around me here today. These windmills pumped a lot of water for a lot of people for a lot of years. With no electricity. I even recall one song about them, in ‘Wildwood Flower’ by Jim Stafford.

..
Caught up with him ’bout six o’clock the next mornin’
Naked, swinging on the windmill
He said he flew up there
I had to fly up and get him down
He was about half crazy.

And then there are the Amish. Each Amish district make it’s own accommodation with the ‘English’ world. Usually they shun any direct utility connection to the house - especially electricity, phone, cable, etc. They don’t watch TV, movies, etc. And they live well for the most part. Their houses are non-electric. The movie ‘Witness’ with Harrison Ford was actually pretty generous in depicting one farm. You have to keep reminding yourself that the accommodations to heating water on the stove becomes mere habit, not a makeshift way to get along for a bit. Wood burning stoves are still made today, copper boilers, etc. They get pricey, outside the Amish communities. Pioneer Implement sells new horse drawn equipment, wagon gears, and forecarts - a heavy steel cart that horses pull, that can attach most farm implements behind for field work or transport. Pick up a copy of Draft Horse Journal (you can subscribe at Amazon.com) for the amazing collection of ads, including Pioneer Equipment. Or Small Farmers Journal, which covers small farm and family living, draft horses and oxen, and children and goats and chickens.

Cut grasses (prairie type, not lawn clippings) to use for hay to stuff a mattress? What do you feed your cat or dog when pet food triples in price, again? How do you use chickens to keep down bugs in the yard, when pest sprays are no longer an option, or do you want (noisy!) guinea hens? Can geese help keep the garden weeded, if you are careful to keep them out until your crops are growing well? Would you rather plant the SunTurf grass lawn mix from Native American Seeds - grows to ten (10) inches, and you cut at most once a year. Or for hay, a prairie mix or some Big Blue Stem (it is neat, in late September, to walk by a clump with seed heads swaying above you!)?

Do we need to start examining city ordinances that impact gardens and small animal keeping?

We have examples and mentors and even suppliers. And we have a few months, anyway, to begin work on new ways to live.